Review
...bad decisions are all too common in business and personal decision making. 40% of senior level hires by companies don’t work out within 18 months, 83% of mergers don’t create value for shareholders, and personally we all make bad investment and relationship choices all the time.
While incomplete information is sometimes to blame, the process used for making the decision is about six times more important. To put it bluntly, our processes for deciding are usually wrong, and they cite four main villains:
- narrow framing,
- confirmation bias,
- short-term decision making, and
- overconfidence.
- Widen your options
- Reality-test your assumptions
- Attain distance before deciding
- Prepare to Be Wrong
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