Sunday, September 27, 2026

AI: Google Gemini?

 What Happened To Google Gemini? - YouTube by Ali H. Salem (AWS?)

Despite leading the AI race in early 2026 with Gemini 3.1 Pro, Google fell behind after announcing Gemini 3.5 Pro at Google I/O in May. Repeated shipping delays allowed competitors like Anthropic and OpenAI to overtake them in performance and model capabilities.

Key Factors Behind the Shift

  1. Underinvestment in Coding: Google fell behind Anthropic and OpenAI in coding benchmarks, a major area driving enterprise adoption.

  2. Compute Bottlenecks: Rather than prioritizing internal model training, Google allocated substantial TPU compute to Google Cloud clients, including competitors like Anthropic.

  3. Internal Restructuring: Mid-year talent departures from DeepMind and a power shift from London to Mountain View caused execution hurdles.

Distribution & Business Strategy

  • Massive Reach: Over a billion Gemini users provide temporary stability, but default availability alone won't retain developers seeking top performance.

  • Cautious Approach: Learning from past rushed launches (like Bard), Google is delaying releases to avoid shipping subpar products.

  • Search Monetization Dilemma: Generative AI responses threaten Google's core ad-revenue model by potentially reducing search click-throughs.